With MONTECARLO a large amount of simulation runs are carried out. The user can choose which parameters are used during the optimisation process and what the value distribution for each selected parameter is. Based on these value distributions for every simulation run a set of new parameter values is determined. Selection of a parameter value from the given value distribution is carried out according to the Latin-Hypercube method
To use the MONTECARLO module a new data set is created in the
triwaco project. Only parameters selected for optimisation are added in the new data set. After the selection of parameters (their distribution and the number of necessary calculations) a parameter sensitivity analysis is carried out. Based on these results, parameters can be omitted from the optimization process thus increasing efficiency.
Subsequently, the process of parameter optimization commences. Before starting the calculations the module chooses the same amount of parameter value combinations as the amount of given calculations. The results of the simulation runs are then tested against the observed heads and the deviations saved as separate result files. After the calculations are completed, the parameter combination can be chosen from the result files that has the smallest measured deviation (the optimum).
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